Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.002640 0.002816 0.003005 0.003226 0.003478 0.003758 0.004098
2025-01-19 0.002377 0.002617 0.002890 0.003230 0.003651 0.004165 0.004859
2025-01-26 0.002093 0.002344 0.002640 0.003023 0.003520 0.004165 0.005108
2025-02-02 0.001984 0.002260 0.002595 0.003049 0.003669 0.004530 0.005914
2025-02-09 0.001927 0.002228 0.002608 0.003141 0.003911 0.005060 0.007125
2025-02-16 0.001850 0.002164 0.002569 0.003155 0.004037 0.005437 0.008221
2025-02-23 0.001820 0.002155 0.002600 0.003266 0.004320 0.006130 0.010269
2025-03-02 0.001741 0.002077 0.002528 0.003218 0.004343 0.006369 0.011472
2025-03-09 0.001660 0.001991 0.002438 0.003133 0.004291 0.006455 0.012343
2025-03-16 0.001633 0.001975 0.002446 0.003197 0.004502 0.007114 0.015490
2025-03-23 0.001605 0.001955 0.002447 0.003250 0.004698 0.007809 0.019851
2025-03-30 0.001556 0.001905 0.002400 0.003218 0.004731 0.008134 0.023323
2025-04-06 0.001487 0.001826 0.002310 0.003117 0.004632 0.008146 0.025548
2025-04-13 0.001447 0.001786 0.002276 0.003108 0.004720 0.008694 0.033735
2025-04-20 0.001363 0.001680 0.002137 0.002911 0.004399 0.008017 0.029493
2025-04-27 0.001337 0.001659 0.002127 0.002934 0.004539 0.008722 0.043118
2025-05-04 0.001328 0.001660 0.002151 0.003020 0.004828 0.010057 0.100162
2025-05-11 0.001304 0.001637 0.002135 0.003033 0.004956 0.010946 0.322965
2025-05-18 0.001299 0.001644 0.002168 0.003136 0.005320 0.013090 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001266 0.001605 0.002124 0.003091 0.005310 0.013589 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001228 0.001558 0.002065 0.003012 0.005201 0.013535 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001218 0.001554 0.002076 0.003072 0.005469 0.015809 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001206 0.001547 0.002082 0.003121 0.005720 0.018496 NaN